SCOPE 29 - The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems, Contents

SCOPE 29 - The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems

Contents

Preface

List of Contributors

Statement

by the UNEP/WMO/ICSU Conference on the assessment of the role of carbon dioxide and of other greenhouse gases in climate variations and associated impacts (Villach, Austria, October 1985).

Executive Summary

1 The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems

A Synthesis of Present Knowledge

B. Bolin, J. Jäger, and B. R. Döös

PART A: HOW IS MAN CHANGING THE COMPOSITION OF THE ATMOSPHERE?

2 Emission of CO₂ into the Atmosphere

The Rate of Release of CO₂ as a Function of Future Energy Developments

W. Keepin, I. Mintzer, and L. Kristoferson

3 How Much CO₂ Will Remain in the Atmosphere?

The Carbon Cycle and Projections for the Future

B. Bolin

4 Other Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols

Assessing Their Role for Atmospheric Radiative Transfer

H.-J. Bolle, W. Seiler, and B. Bolin

PART B: A WARMER CLIMATE

5 How Will Climate Change?

The Climate System and Modelling of Future Climate

R. E. Dickinson

6 Empirical Climate Studies

Warm World Scenarios and the Detection of Climatic Change Induced by Radiatively Active Gases

T. M. L. Wigley, P. D. Jones, and P. M. Kelly

7 Changing the Sea Level

Projecting the Rise in Sea Level Caused by Warming of the Atmosphere

G. deQ. Robin

PART C: THE IMPACTS ON TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS



8 The Effects of Increased CO₂ and Climatic Change on Terrestrial Ecosystems

Global Perspectives, Aims and Issues

R. A. Warrick, H. H. Shugart, M. Ja. Antonovsky, with J. R. Tarrant and C. J. Tucker

9 CO₂, Climatic Change and Agriculture

Assessing the Response of Food Crops to the Direct Effects of Increased CO2 and Climatic Change

R. A. Warrick and R. M. Gifford, with M. L. Parry

10 CO₂, Climatic Change and Forest Ecosystems

Assessing the Response of Global Forests to the Direct Effects of Increasing CO2 and Climatic Change

H. H. Shugart, M. Ya. Antonovsky, P. G. Jarvis, and A. P. Sandford

The electronic version of this publication has been prepared at
the M S Swaminathan Research Foundation, Chennai, India.

Contents

Preface
List of Contributors
Statement
by the UNEP/WMO/ICSU Conference on the assessment of the role of carbon dioxide and of other greenhouse gases in climate variations and associated impacts (Villach, Austria, October 1985).
Executive Summary

1	The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems
	A Synthesis of Present Knowledge
	B. Bolin, J. Jäger, and B. R. Döös

PART A: HOW IS MAN CHANGING THE COMPOSITION OF THE ATMOSPHERE?

2	Emission of CO₂ into the Atmosphere
	The Rate of Release of CO₂ as a Function of Future Energy Developments
	W. Keepin, I. Mintzer, and L. Kristoferson
3	How Much CO₂ Will Remain in the Atmosphere?
	The Carbon Cycle and Projections for the Future
	B. Bolin
4	Other Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols
	Assessing Their Role for Atmospheric Radiative Transfer
	H.-J. Bolle, W. Seiler, and B. Bolin

PART B: A WARMER CLIMATE

5	How Will Climate Change?
	The Climate System and Modelling of Future Climate
	R. E. Dickinson
6	Empirical Climate Studies
	Warm World Scenarios and the Detection of Climatic Change Induced by Radiatively Active Gases
	T. M. L. Wigley, P. D. Jones, and P. M. Kelly
7	Changing the Sea Level
	Projecting the Rise in Sea Level Caused by Warming of the Atmosphere
	G. deQ. Robin

PART C: THE IMPACTS ON TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS

8	The Effects of Increased CO₂ and Climatic Change on Terrestrial Ecosystems
	Global Perspectives, Aims and Issues
	R. A. Warrick, H. H. Shugart, M. Ja. Antonovsky, with J. R. Tarrant and C. J. Tucker
9	CO₂, Climatic Change and Agriculture
	Assessing the Response of Food Crops to the Direct Effects of Increased CO2 and Climatic Change
	R. A. Warrick and R. M. Gifford, with M. L. Parry
10	CO₂, Climatic Change and Forest Ecosystems
	Assessing the Response of Global Forests to the Direct Effects of Increasing CO2 and Climatic Change
	H. H. Shugart, M. Ya. Antonovsky, P. G. Jarvis, and A. P. Sandford